Online Sportbook computer model ran 10,000 simulations of Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets before revealing its NBA picks today.
On Tuesday night, the Denver Nuggets (14-9) take on the Dallas Mavericks (12-11) in a Western Conference matchup. This is the third meeting between these two clubs this season, and each club has won. The Nuggets are 11-12 against the spread. Meanwhile, in 2022, Dallas is a league-worst 7-15-1 against the spread. Peyton Watson (right hamstring strain) and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (wrist) are both questionable, while Denver is missing Michael Porter Jr., Collin Gillespie, and Jeff Green.
The game will begin at 10 p.m. ET in Denver. In the most recent Mavericks vs. Nuggets odds, OKBET Sportsbook has the Nuggets as a 4.5-point favorite, with the total points scored set at 222.5. Before making any Mavericks vs. Nuggets predictions, check out OKBET Asia NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model.
Over the past four seasons, the OKBET Asia Projection Model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks. The model enters Week 8 of the 2022-23 NBA season with a 111-70 record on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, having returned more than $3,000. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Mavericks vs. Nuggets and has made its NBA predictions. You can now view the model’s picks on OKBET Asia. Here are some NBA odds and betting lines for the Mavericks vs. Nuggets matchup:
- Spread for Mavericks vs. Nuggets: Denver -4.5
- Over/Under for Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 222.5 points
- Money line for the Mavericks vs. Nuggets: Denver -190, Dallas +158
- DAL: The over is 7-1 in the Mavericks’ last eight games played on 0 days rest.
- DEN: The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss by more than ten points.
Picks for the Mavericks vs. Nuggets are available here.
Why the Nuggets are capable of covering
Guard Jamal Murray is a quick and instinctive playmaker. Murray, as a scorer or facilitator, can carry the team in spurts. The Kentucky product excels at shooting from downtown and can really push the tempo in transition. Murray is averaging 17.9 points and 4.9 assists per game while shooting 38% from three-point range. In four of his last five games, he has scored 20 or more points and made at least two 3-pointers.
Forward Aaron Gordon is a very athletic and versatile frontcourt player. Gordon is a high-energy, explosive player who can soar above the rim. The Arizona product is constantly cutting to the rim and can defend the three and four. Gordon averages 16.1 points and 6.7 rebounds per contest. He had 19 points and eight rebounds in his previous game.
Why the Mavericks are capable of covering
Guard On the court, Luka Doncic does it all for this team. Doncic has exceptional court vision and the ability to thread the needle. He’s fourth in the league in assists (8.5), and he’s had ten or more in three of his last five games. The three-time All-Star can easily create his shot from anywhere on the court. Furthermore, Doncic leads the NBA in scoring with 33.4 points per game. He had 33 points, six rebounds, and eight assists on Monday.
Forward Tim Hardaway Jr. is an excellent perimeter shooter. Hardaway Jr. shoots 35% from deep and averages 2.7 three-pointers per game. The Michigan product is athletic and excels at filling the lane. He averages 12.6 points per game but has scored 20 or more in three of his last four games. On Saturday, Hardaway Jr. scored 28 points, grabbed seven rebounds, and shot 8-of-13 from beyond the arc.
How to Pick Mavericks vs. Nuggets
The point total is favored by OKBET Asia model, which predicts 233 points for the teams combined. According to the model, one side of the spread is hit in more than half of the simulations. Only OKBET Asia has the model’s Nuggets vs. Mavericks pick.
So, who wins the Mavericks vs. Nuggets matchup? And which side of the spread is correct in more than half of the simulations? Keep reading our NBA news to find out.
